Iraq: Al Qaeda’s Quagmire
BY Herschel Smith17 years, 1 month ago
After the turning of the tribes in Ramadi and the military defeat of the insurgents in Fallujah, coalition attention could be fully turned on al Qaeda with actionable intelligence. The tempo of intelligence-driven operations is steady and effective.
- On October 6, 2007, Coalition forces killed two terrorists, captured one wanted individual and detained another six suspects during two coordinated operations near Samarra. The wanted individual is believed to be an associate of several Syrian-based network leaders that support the flow of foreign terrorists. As Coalition forces approached the target area, they observed one individual jump from the roof of a building, attempting to evade capture. The ground force engaged the fleeing terrorist, killing him. As the ground force entered the building, they discovered an armed terrorist and, responding in self-defense, killed the armed man. In addition to the wanted individual, Coalition forces detained five suspected terrorists on site. Also in Samarra, intelligence reports led Coalition forces to an area alleged to be a terrorist safe haven; one suspected terrorist was detained. Coalition forces captured two wanted individuals and four suspected terrorists during coordinated operations in Kirkuk. During one operation, Coalition forces captured an al-Qaeda in Iraq senior leader believed to be involved in foreign terrorist facilitation in the al-Tamim province and detained four additional suspects. Nearby, the ground force captured the alleged leader of the al-Qaeda in Iraq media network in Kirkuk. The suspect is believed to have numerous ties to senior leaders operating in the province.
- On October 6 & 7, 2007, operations against al Qaeda were conducted in the central and Northern parts of Iraq. Coalition forces conducted an operation in Mosul targeting an associate of al-Qaeda in Iraq believed to be responsible for fuel distribution to the city’s terrorist network. In Baghdad, Coalition forces captured a wanted individual reported to be involved in the planning and execution of numerous attacks against Iraqi civilians and security forces. The individual also has close ties to al-Qaeda in Iraq senior leaders operating a car-bombing network throughout Baghdad. In an operation in Tikrit, Coalition forces targeted an associate of al-Qaeda in Iraq believed to be involved in kidnapping operations, weapons facilitation and the development of improvised explosive devices. The ground force detained five suspected terrorists on site without incident. West of Samarra Saturday, Coalition forces conducted a precision operation targeting an associate of an al-Qaeda in Iraq leader involved in foreign terrorist facilitation in the Tigris River Valley. Time-sensitive intelligence led the ground force to a location where two suspected terrorists were detained.
- On October 8, 2007, Iraqi Special Operations Forces conducted an early-morning raid to detain an al Qaeda in Iraq Amir for the Arab Jabour area who is suspected of being involved in small-arms fire, deeply buried and vehicle-borne improvised explosive device attacks, as well as extra-judicial killings.
Groups of so-called security volunteers or concerned citizens are developing throughout central, Western and Northern Iraq, having significant successes against terrorist operations.
- Iraqi security volunteers uncovered a large weapons cache west of Hor Al Bosh, Iraq, Oct. 4. While conducting door-to-door operations in neighborhoods near the village, the volunteers reported the find to Soldiers from Company C, 2nd Battalion, 8th Cavalry Regiment of the 1st “Ironhorse
On October 9, 2007 at 11:24 am, fumento said:
Remember your history. During the Tet COUNTER-offensive in 1968, we destroyed the Viet Cong as an institution. Nevertheless: 1) Walter Cronkite went there and came back declaring we couldn’t win and 2), the North Vietnamese simply took over the VC.
NOW, if you want to say AQI was perhaps the worst terrorist group in Iraq so good riddance there, I’d agree. But the terror and the fighting would go on without them.
Finally (I think) it could be argued that at least without AQI, AQ generally can’t use Iraq as a launch point. I think that’s probably the best thing to come of this in the long run. (Short run, we’re indeed seeing a lot less violence in Anbar.) Unfortunately, so long as they have safe haven in western Pakistan I’m not sure how much safe havens anywhere else, including Afghanistan, count.
On October 9, 2007 at 1:02 pm, Herschel Smith said:
I agree, but would add several things. First, Vietnam was a counterinsurgency victory. Even with Tet, the VC were defeated and essentially gone from the scene. The naysayers like Walter Cronkite did what they did, Congress pulled funds and support, and the NVA regulars rolled in (partly due to our failure to shut the Ho Chi Minh trail).
Thematically, I split again the definition of insurgents and terrorists (foreign fighters). In Anbar we initially fought both, with the insurgency being the most potent. Al Qaeda overplayed their hand, and we “encouraged” the insurgents to turn (e.g., we shut Sattar’s smuggling lines with kinetic operations and started talking to him and others). The insurgents turned, and now we are waging a war mainly against foreign fighters, who are losing. Yes, there will be the occassional insurgent left over from1920’s Brigade men who will not side with the coalition, but in the main, I believe it will be a war against Ansar al Sunna, Ansar al Islam, Al Qaeda and smaller groups, with AQ being the strongest, but still losing.
Yes again, you and I both agree on the awful effects of leaving Sadr alive and allowing the Iran-biased Badr Brigade to bury themselves into main stream Iraqi politics.
Finally, I suspect we are FAR from finished in Afghanistan.
On October 9, 2007 at 5:35 pm, jagcap said:
In other words, Andrew Sullivan’s flypaper theory was correct… too bad he lacked the guts to hold to his position.
On October 11, 2007 at 11:28 am, rlaycock said:
To: Jagcap
Actually Andrew borrowed that theory from David Warren.
http://www.davidwarrenonline.com/index.php?id=237
If I recall (I actually read The Daily Dish back then) Andrew did properly link to Warren’s column.
It finally does appear to be working now that the proper command is in place..
R.