North Korea Tests Nuclear Weapon
BY Herschel Smith
18 years, 2 months ago
There are a lot of unknowns at the moment, such as yield, degree of success, etc. But Fox News is reporting that North Korea has tested a nuclear weapon. There will be many consequences to this action, but perhaps the most significant will be what happens with Japan.
We have argued before that while Japan has not gone nuclear yet, the right set of circumstances could converge to cause Japan to embark on a robust nuclear program. This is the right set of circumstances. After Japan, South Korea will likely succeed in the development of such a program, and then possibly Taiwan.
The real loser in this is China, because the balance of power has just dramatically shifted. Numbers of troops and size of industrial infrastructure now matters less than it did prior to a nuclear arms race.
A nuclear arms race has just begun in the Far East. Japan and South Korea are set up to succeed in this race given their success at commercial nuclear power.
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