Obama and the Taliban
BY Herschel Smith15 years, 1 month ago
By now it’s old news that Obama has hearted the Taliban.
President Obama is prepared to accept some Taleban involvement in Afghanistan’s political future and is unlikely to favour a large influx of new American troops being demanded by his ground commander, a senior official said last night.
Mr Obama appears to have been swayed in recent days by arguments from some advisers, led by Vice-President Joe Biden, that the Taleban do not pose a direct threat to the US and that there should be greater focus on tackling al-Qaeda inside Pakistan.
Mr Obama’s developing strategy on the Taleban will “not tolerate their return to power”, the senior official said. However, the US would only fight to keep the Taleban from retaking control of the central government — something the official said it is now far from capable of — and from giving renewed sanctuary to al-Qaeda.
Bowing to the reality that the fundamentalist movement is too ingrained in national culture, the Administration is prepared, as it has been for some time, to accept some Taleban role in parts of Afghanistan, the official said.
That could mean paving the way for insurgents willing to renounce violence to participate in a central government, and even ceding some regions of the country to the Taleban.
Mr Obama, the official said, is now inclined to send only as many more troops to Afghanistan as are needed to keep al-Qaeda at bay. Downing Street said that the US President had discussed Afghanistan with Gordon Brown yesterday during a 40-minute video conference call.
Sending far fewer troops than the 40,000 being demanded by General Stanley McChrystal would mean that Mr Obama is willing to ignore the wishes of his ground commander.
General McChrystal, along with the US military’s other top officials, insist that only a classic, well-resourced counter-insurgency strategy has a chance of staving off defeat in Afghanistan. Losing the war, they further argue, would provide al-Qaeda with new safe havens from which to mount attacks on the US and elsewhere.
After two days of meetings in the White House Situation Room with his war Cabinet, Mr Obama, according to the official, kept returning to one central question: who is our adversary?
The answer was, repeatedly, al-Qaeda, with advisers arguing that the terror network was distinct from the Taleban and that the US military was fighting the Taleban even though it posed no direct threat to America.
Ah. And there is the crux of the issue, isn’t it? An unstated assumption, it is. The Taliban pose no direct threat to America, or in other words, they won’t harbor al Qaeda in the future. They aren’t globalists, and they won’t befriend those who would be globalists or who would participate in the transnational insurgency they call jihad.
Well, I have argued that the burden of proof is on those who claim that the Taliban are no threat at all since they have proven otherwise in their history. I have further argued that their claims to being innocuous are dubious given their previous devotion to AQ and their recent statements.
But putting that issue aside for a moment, there is something very troubling that stands out in this report. The administration has elsewhere argued that AQ is primarily (or completely) in Pakistan and is preparing to focus major assets and attention on the Pakistani effort at routing AQ. They have now signed on to the notion that the Taliban won’t harbor AQ and are even prepared to offer them a place in the seat of government.
Yet instead of sending McChrystal his requested troops for the campaign, they are preparing to send only those troops needed to “keep AQ at bay.” Keep them at bay where? In Afghanistan? But we’ve signed on to the notion that the Taliban will route them from Afghanistan, not harbor them. If this is true, then not only will no more troops be needed, the ones currently there can come home. The Taliban can combine with the Afghan National Army and Afghan National Police to do our work for us.
Alas, it is such simple logic, and it’s sad that the administration couldn’t see through the greatest weakness of its own argument. They don’t even believe it.
On October 10, 2009 at 12:22 pm, TSAlfabet said:
If Obama and company is going to deny McChrystal even the 40,000 troops requested (which is probably a bare minimum), then McChrystal and other commanders who have any respect for the lives of their troops should resign en masse.
Mark my words: staying in A-stan with the minimal forces we have will result in a bloodbath and humiliation not seen since Saigon and Somalia.
These commanders cannot in good conscience give any cover for this disgrace.
As far as the Taliban and AQ, it is clear that they are perfectly cozy in Pakistan, so it is pure, wishful-thinking by the Admin that the Taliban will do anything to keep out their jihadi brethren.
And who thinks for a minute that the Taliban can live in some peaceful co-existence with any kind of non-Taliban government of any kind? The Taliban are dictatorial absolutists to the core. They will kill or drive out anyone who opposes their absoulte control in A-stan.
We are looking at far, far worse than 1970’s Jimmy Carter, gentlemen. It is worse than anyone imagined.
On October 12, 2009 at 5:55 pm, jimcop said:
Remeber what happened in ‘Nam? Well, the politicians are at it again. They never understood that military matters should be dealt with by military-wise guys; if a specialized and veteran soldier such as Gen. McChrystal doesn’t get the ears of the Administration (no pun in here) then he should resign his command and pack home; there’s no honor in fighting the wrong way, with no hope of winning and watching your troops being killed senselessly because of a stupid strategy. Without the Taliban, AQ is lost, they’ll have no safe-ground to train and regroup; their logistics depend on the heaven provided by the Taliban and Islamic militias in he Afghanistan-Pakistan border. Once they’ve lost their bases, they’ll have to look for places where they won’t have ample fields for maneuvering or hiding, which will lead to easier ways to deal lethal blows against them. You have to deal with the Taliban and their allies first, then AQ will be easy meat. Cut the Taliban funding first, that means eradicate poppy growing and fight hard against the drug-trafficking chieftains and their smuggling routes; go for the Taliban high-echelon cadres, leave their roving bands without leadership and conquer the villagers minds and souls by providing infrastructure, substitute crops and agronomic advise, health and education. That means attacking the enemy’s logistics, leadership and recruiting pools. Snipers and Special Forces units will be with their hands full, but they always get the job done, if the politicians stay calm at their Washington desks and let the people who know about war do their jobs.