Concerning Covid-19: All Of Your Models Are Wrong, Part III
BY Herschel Smith
4 years, 8 months ago
NYT.
After adjustments intended to account for differences between the sample and the population of the county as a whole, the researchers estimated that the prevalence of antibodies was between 2.5 percent and a bit more than 4 percent. The county’s population is 1.9 million.
That means that 48,000 to 81,000 people were infected with the coronavirus in Santa Clara County by early April, the investigators concluded.
To this consideration you can add a large urban area in Massachusetts and Los Angeles, where it is estimated that more than a total of half a million people have already been infected with Coronavirus in just three urban areas.
On April 22, 2020 at 7:02 am, Fred said:
TN is a hard go for a “phased reopening” but looking at the “local” rag owned by Gannett the parent of USA Today, it says the local city mayor will use a data driven approach. This is an absurdity and absolute utter nonsense because if it’s ok to open next week then a shutdown was never needed by the county’s own data reporting. These people all need to be replaced, every last one. The really sad part is that they believe in their heart that they are doing the right thing, the very worst kind of tyrant would be kings.
All of the folks who I kind of already knew were leaning statist and would crack at the first sign of trouble did just that. A few on the fence didn’t succumb to the spirit of fear from the devil, a pleasant and welcome, not really surprise, but nice thing to see them stick to their core beliefs and trust the Lord. Some people online went headlong Ozzy Osborn off the rails on a crazy train. Don’t be anywhere around those types going forward.
Seriously, it wasn’t even a real crisis with actual and direct threats and anybody who wavered during this can’t be trusted. Don’t wait until the bullets start flying or tanks are on the streets. Weed your gardens well.
On April 22, 2020 at 6:31 pm, Ned2 said:
The longer we go without basic questions answered, the closer we get to a pandemic of civil disobedience.
Even out here in the boonies, I’m seeing people saying they’re not going to comply anymore.
A couple more weeks, the gov recommendations will be laughed at. Get ready.