How Helene Affected The People Of Appalachia

Herschel Smith · 30 Sep 2024 · 11 Comments

To begin with, this is your president. This ought to be one of the most shameful things ever said by a sitting president. "Do you have any words to the victims of the hurricane?" BIDEN: "We've given everything that we have." "Are there any more resources the federal government could be giving them?" BIDEN: "No." pic.twitter.com/jDMNGhpjOz — RNC Research (@RNCResearch) September 30, 2024 We must have spent too much money on Ukraine to help Americans in distress. I don't…… [read more]

Covid-19: I Think They Communicated Just What They Wanted

BY Herschel Smith
4 years, 6 months ago

Article Title: “Tennessee Restaurants Reopen As State Sees Biggest 1-Day Jump In COVID-19 Cases

That’s right folks.  Just as they’re spiking in “cases,” they are going to open the state up to commerce.  Or not.

Restaurants across Tennessee are able to welcome dine-in customers Monday for the first time in nearly a month as the state eases restrictions put in place to help stem the spread of the coronavirus.

The step toward some semblance of normalcy comes a day after the state reported its highest single-day jump in newly confirmed COVID-19 cases, 478, which officials say represents a 5.2% increase from the previous day.

The number of people confirmed to have the virus statewide as of Monday morning was just shy of 10,000 cases at 9,667, according to data compiled by the University of Tennessee, Knoxville.

State officials say the spike in confirmed cases is due primarily to an increase in testing. The state’s department of health tweeted that it conducted more than 7,000 tests this past weekend.

Oh, I see.  You actually have to read English to tell that the headline is complete bullshit.

So here’s the deal.  People who contracted the virus, and shed the virus with little to no symptoms, are now called “cases,” and as more testing gets done, the number of Coronavirus “cases” keeps increasing.

The MSM really does take you for an idiot.  Don’t be one.  And always remember when you hear these kinds of numbers, “Presumed Covid-19 Diagnosis.”  That’s right.  Presumed.

These are very dark days for science.  I know.  I’ve done science (real science, physics, engineering, and math) for 40 years now.

Concerning Covid-19: All Of Your Models Are Wrong, Part VI

BY Herschel Smith
4 years, 6 months ago

Two additional points needs to be made about the smart video the two doctors made in the video embedded in the last post.

First, let’s make sure everyone understands how this is all going to go down.  Not even the professional bureaucratic medical community made the claims early on that a lockdown, social distancing, use of PPEs, and all of the other onerous controls they have gotten the American people to adopt, would change one iota the total number of people who were exposed to Covid-19.  Because if they had made that claim, they would have been lying.

Even if no one attributes anything nefarious to their goals (I think that’s a very gracious assumption), the goal from the very beginning was merely to change the rate at which the virus propagates through society in order to prevent burdening the health care system beyond its capabilities.  If you believe that your social distancing and use of PPE is going to prevent forever your being exposed to this and other viruses, you don’t understand how this works.

You stop by the gas station to fuel with petrol.  You touch the nozzle handle.  You make contact with various pathogens.  If you use napkins to touch the nozzle handle, you swipe your card in a reader that has pathogens deposited on it.  You stop in at Lowes or Home Despot to pick up something related to plumbing, or air filters.  You are around two hundred other people, many of whom have been exposed to Coronavirus.  You pick up a part to examine it to see if it fits your needs.  You touch pathogens.  Even if you’re wearing gloves, you swipe your card in a reader that has pathogens.

If you use cash to prevent having to touch the card reader, that cash has been handled by people who have been exposed to Coronavirus.  If the store gives you the part because you complain about something or other, you are still breathing the air around you, much of which is recycled air from people who have been exposed to Coronavirus.

The delivery man who drops off the Amazon package leaves a box on your doorstep, and he has been exposed to Coronavirus.  Listen carefully.  Unless you live in the deepest part of Idaho and never visit the doctor or dentist, never have to order packages, grow your own food and slaughter your own meat, never go to the post office, and never receive mail, you are going to be exposed to Coronavirus.  Many millions of people have already been exposed.

The second point pertains to number of deaths (especially when compared to number of deaths from flu or any other pathogen).  In order for that ratio to mean anything, you must know the numerator and denominator.  The denominator is number of people who have been exposed.  We know that it’s a lot (millions), but the value is not reliably accurate.

The numerator is a complete joke.  Doctors never logged number of patients who died with flu, or strep, or any other pathogen, if in fact it wasn’t the direct cause of death.  Comparison of these ratios for Coronavirus and any other pathogen, you must formulate very strict definitions and boundary conditions for your study.  Those very strict boundary conditions do not obtain.

One final thought about this.  Recall from the previous video that the doctors have talked to colleagues who were pressured to find Covid-19 the cause of death?  I discussed this with my daughter a day or two ago.  Sure enough, where she works, “Presumed Covid-19 Diagnosis” is a formal diagnosis that can now be selected.

Consider that: Presumed Covid-19 Diagnosis.

As a practicing engineer, do you think I’d be able to use that summary statement on calculations rather than actually completing the work?  “Presumed accurate and error-free calculation.”

Finally, from reader BRVTVS, these two papers show promise with the use of Hydroxychloroquine.

preprints202004.0381.v1.

2020.04.15 journal manuscript final.

You can read them at your leisure.  In both papers the authors recommend the use of Hydroxychloroquine and also find it safe.  It’s safe if you administer it to patients under the right conditions – we’ve known for a long time not to give it to patients with heart conditions.

And yet … the bureaucracy still opposes this safe and effective therapeutic, favoring instead forced ventilation.  Note that nearly 90% of patients in New York who were put on ventilators died.

That’s your medical establishment.  This is one of professional medicine’s darkest hours, and they aren’t doing their reputation any favors with the public.

Concerning Covid-19: All Of Your Models Are Wrong

Concerning Covid-19: All Of Your Models Are Wrong, Part II

Concerning Covid-19: All Of Your Models Are Wrong, Part III

Concerning Covid-19: All Of Your Models Are Wrong, Part IV

Concerning Covid-19: All Of Your Models Are Wrong, Part V

Medical Tags:

Tagging People Who Are Covid-19 Positive For Return To Work

BY Herschel Smith
4 years, 6 months ago

For an interesting discussion about the three companies who are actively pursuing some sort of tagging for Covid-19 antibodies before return to work is possible, as well as a conversation on the current surveillance state, see this video, beginning at around 15 or 16 minutes.  New York is the canary in the coal mine.

It’s almost like there is an ulterior motive behind all of this.

Politics Tags:

Concerning Covid-19: All Of Your Models Are Wrong, Part V

BY Herschel Smith
4 years, 6 months ago

Prior:

All Of Your Models Are Wrong

All Of Your Models Are Wrong, Part II

All Of Your Models Are Wrong, Part III

All Of Your Models Are Wrong, Part IV

 

Medical Tags:

Concerning Covid-19: All Of Your Models Are Wrong, Part IV

BY Herschel Smith
4 years, 6 months ago

News from New York.

New York may have 13.9% of its population infected with coronavirus, meaning 2.7 million residents could have had the virus, preliminary state results Thursday showed.

[ … ]

Started last Sunday, the state did a random selection of 3,000 people at various locations across the state, including at grocery stores and big-box stores, to help understand who has built up an immunity to the virus …

This can be added to the more than half a million in LA plus one large urban area in Massachusetts.

Medical Tags:

Five Problems With the Study That Claims ‘More Deaths’ From Treating Coronavirus With Hydroxychloroquine

BY Herschel Smith
4 years, 6 months ago

PJM.

The study itself acknowledges that “hydroxychloroquine, with or without azithromycin, was more likely to be prescribed to patients with more severe disease.” In such a small study that isn’t representative of the entire population, this would likely impact the results. For starters, there is a direct correlation between advanced age and the severity of side effects. If more severe cases were more likely to be prescribed the drug, it’s possible that these patients were more likely to be fatal cases regardless of the treatment, and perhaps the drugs weren’t administered early enough to alleviate the symptoms to result in recovery. “The findings should not be viewed as definitive because the analysis doesn’t adjust for patients’ clinical status and showed that hydroxychloroquine alone was provided to VA’s sickest COVID-19 patients, many times as a last resort,” a spokeswoman for the Department of Veterans Affairs told Fox News.

That’s enough to do it for me.  The claim that this therapeutic is helpful hasn’t been made in a vacuum.  The claim is that it is helpful when administered early.  It’s ridiculous that the researchers can’t seem to build the proper boundary conditions for the study.

Look, I’m not personally and emotionally committed to this therapeutic.  But we still don’t have evidence that it doesn’t work – while we do have evidence that it does work.

If it does, then prove it with studies with the right boundary conditions.  If it doesn’t, prove it with studies with the right boundary conditions and then move on to something that shows more promise.

Medical Tags:

Concerning Covid-19: All Of Your Models Are Wrong, Part III

BY Herschel Smith
4 years, 7 months ago

NYT.

After adjustments intended to account for differences between the sample and the population of the county as a whole, the researchers estimated that the prevalence of antibodies was between 2.5 percent and a bit more than 4 percent. The county’s population is 1.9 million.

That means that 48,000 to 81,000 people were infected with the coronavirus in Santa Clara County by early April, the investigators concluded.

To this consideration you can add a large urban area in Massachusetts and Los Angeles, where it is estimated that more than a total of half a million people have already been infected with Coronavirus in just three urban areas.

Medical Tags:

Concerning Covid-19: All Of Your Models Are Wrong, Part II

BY Herschel Smith
4 years, 7 months ago

I have all of the curves: confirmed Covid-19 cases in America, mortality rate, ratio of active to confirmed cases, currently active cases, recovered cases, etc., etc.

None of it means anything.  At all.

MIT Study.

Just one section of Massachusetts could have more than 100,000 coronavirus cases — many times more than the entire state has identified at this point, according to an MIT-associated study of local sewage.

Biobot Analytics, which is a lab associated with the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, published research this week that an analysis of sewage from a treatment facility in “a large metropolitan area in the state of Massachusetts” suggested that many more people potentially have the highly contagious disease than tests have confirmed.

“On March 25, the area represented by the sample had approximately 446 confirmed cases of Covid-19,” Biobot researchers wrote Wednesday in a post about their research. “Based on our sewage analysis, we estimate that up to 115,000 people are infected and shedding the SARS-CoV-2 virus.”

Biobot, which didn’t respond to requests for comment, didn’t specify where in the state the samples came from.

MIT.  Large metropolitan area.  Probably Boston.

USC Study.

While Los Angeles County has reported a total of 13,816 coronavirus cases, early results from an antibody study conducted with the University of Southern California shows that hundreds of thousands more could have had COVID-19 in the past, officials announced Monday.

So far, 863 L.A. County residents have been tested between April 10 and 14 as part of the study.

The study estimates a prevalence of COVID-19 antibodies in the county to be 4.1%, with a range that could be as low as 2.8% and as high as 5.6%, when you factor in the reliability of the tests.

An estimated 221,000 adults to 442,000 adults at the high end may have been infected at some point before April 9 with COVID-19, suggesting that the number of total people in the county with a past or current infection is 28 to 55 times higher than the number of reported positive cases, Dr. Barbara Ferrer, L.A. County’s public health director said Monday.

“Although I report every day that we have thousands of thousands of people that have tested positive, the serology testing lets us know that we have hundreds of thousands of people that have already developed antibodies to the virus because at some point in time over the last couple of months, they have in fact been infected with COVID-19,” Ferrer said.

Everything you’re being told by the FedGov and StateGov and CountyGov is crap.  I’m a registered professional engineer.  I’ve done science, engineering and mathematical modeling for 40 years.  If I did my work like this my license would have been stripped and I would be in jail.

Bill Buppert at ZeroGov says this.

You won’t find me parsing the nonsensical and shamanesque grotesqueries of Comrades Birx or Fauci or any of the other “government health” frauds at the hilariously contranymic Center for Disease Control; when not chasing the phantoms of gun violence (is hanging rope violence?) or racism or salt, the CDC is yet another government clown posse who couldn’t predict a sunset much less the verities of viral outbreaks.

Me neither.  I’ve said it before.  It has all become a FedGov jobs program for incompetent people who can’t otherwise do real work anywhere else, all controlled by wicked rulers who want to convert America into nanny state socialism with moronic sheeple begging for more and more control over their daily lives.

Politics Tags:

What Coronavirus Is Doing To America

BY Herschel Smith
4 years, 7 months ago

Via Woodpile ReportDaniel Greenfield.

The Chinese virus is a social evil that seems to attack good social behavior, like going to churches and synagogues, socializing across generations, and making sure that grandchildren interact with their grandparents, while rewarding bad social behavior, isolation and distancing. It’s almost designed to further fragment American social life…

At a time when the country should be coming together, their only thought is of how to tear it apart for their political profit, racializing the virus and then blaming it on racism, instead of on Communist China, which lied about the pandemic, may have created it, and then cornered the market on protective gear.

Grandparents who can’t see their children because parents are scared stiff, workers who can’t go to work, politicians using this opportunity to further their controls, and veterans who can’t be buried to rifle salutes, taps or committal ceremonies.  All of impoverishing America, financially, spiritually and mentally.

I find it all disgusting.

Politics Tags:

Concerning Covid-19: All Of Your Models Are Wrong!

BY Herschel Smith
4 years, 7 months ago

At the very beginning of this outbreak, while I didn’t dismiss the threat of the Coronavirus, I stated to several friends online, and to family and extended family, that we haven’t yet heard the whole story on this.  It’s buried, and if anyone knows it all, he isn’t talking, or if he does, he’ll probably not be talking for long.  He’ll disappear.

I was perhaps the first out of the gate saying that this was an engineered virus.  My background is engineering and mathematical model development, and so the lack of background with microbiology caused most people to ignore my statements.  But to me, the facts that this virus hasn’t learned to live among the population without killing its host, is the perfect admixture of SARs, Bat-SARs and HIV to cause problems with humans, and came from near a weapons lab, along with the Chinese doctrine of unrestricted warfare, pointed to something much more sinister than a wet market.  I would also mention my views on the second law of thermodynamics and increasing entropy, and the virtual perfection in development of this pathogen versus the stochastic diminution that would occur in nature.

Then along came Paul Cotrell’s video (he has many more since then) followed by the Epoch Times research, in which the microbiology studies were supplemented by the paper trail, and it suddenly became a little more difficult to dismiss my assertions.

Next up, this post addresses this same issue in at least as comprehensive a fashion as Dr. Cotrell’s analysis, and it is must reading if you really want to understand the origin of this virus.

The bureaucracy is now arguing that this virus came from the deepest part of China in a bat cave somewhere (note that this is a modification of the paradigm they gave earlier, which is that it came from the wet market near Wuhan, an argument that fell flat when it became wider knowledge that many of the very early and original Coronavirus patients had no connection whatsoever to the wet market and never went there).  Google “patient 31.”  This is an actual person with a number, meaning that they know about patients 0 – 30, and exactly where they were and weren’t, and more than likely how they got the virus.

There model then was wrong, and their model now is wrong (or better, a lie).  Furthermore, they continue to argue that Hydroxychloroquine isn’t an effective therapeutic and are trying to do their very best to prove it (I have multiple documents in my possession to the N.C. hospital system concerning this very subject).  They want Remdesivir to be in wide use, being a patented drug, and able to make a lot of money for big Pharma.

Their epidemiological models were wrong from the beginning, and are still wrong today.  The CDC has been fighting gun violence, obesity, and racism, so anything to do with biology and analytical statistics is rather too difficult for them.  Apparently, the CDC has become a FedGov jobs program for people who can’t otherwise do real work.

Just recently I stumbled across another interesting video where a doctor treating Coronavirus patients in New York challenged the entire paradigm for treatment of this disease.  This is necessary watching, and the authority he brings stands based on experience, and in my opinion shouldn’t be questioned.  He’s been there and done it.  I haven’t, and you haven’t.

So here it’s appropriate to point out that we’ve also discussed the model for treatment of this disease.

When the red blood cell gets to the alveoli, or the little sacs in your lungs where all the gas exchange happens, that special little iron ion can flip between FE2+ and FE3+ states with electron exchange and bond to some oxygen, then it goes off on its little merry way to deliver o2 elsewhere.

Here’s where COVID-19 comes in. Its glycoproteins bond to the heme, and in doing so that special and toxic oxidative iron ion is “disassociated” (released). It’s basically let out of the cage and now freely roaming around on its own.

Without the iron ion, hemoglobin can no longer bind to oxygen. Once all the hemoglobin is impaired, the red blood cell is essentially turned into a Freightliner truck cab with no trailer and no ability to store its cargo.. it is useless and just running around with COVID-19 virus attached to its porphyrin.

This, I observed, is like carboxyhemoglobin, where carbon monoxide binds with the red blood cells and doesn’t just leave no room oxygen (it’s worse than that), but it hangs on and doesn’t give room for oxygen until the patient is treated in a hyperbaric chamber.

Now, it’s important to note that there are reactions to this author’s assertions like in the comments to this article written by a smarter-than-thou researcher.

Another dubious link.

Just who is ‘libertymavenstock’? What qualifications to they have to ELI5?
What is with ridiculous lines like:

‘Well, a few had some things eerily correct (cough Trump cough), especially with Hydroxychloroquine with Azithromicin[sic], but we’ll get to that in a minute.’

There is a big quote in that article and I can’t see where it is from.

How could anyone take such an article seriously?

I guess the doctor’s conclusions from New York would seem to justify the assertion that something is happening in the blood to cause problems with the uptake of oxygen and delivery to the cells.

You see, smarter-than-thou writers and commenters who know everything tell you what they know, and most often they’re wrong.  In this particular case, the entire treatment paradigm may be so wrong that it’s harming patients rather than helping them.  And smarter-than-thou commenters and researchers who do this sort of thing are most often proven wrong if they just waited a little while, but are never held to account.  It’s embarrassing that they aren’t embarrassed by it all.  It’s sort of like watching a speaker piss in his pants or fart out loud in front of a room full of people.  The listeners almost can’t watch, cover their faces, speak in hushed tones, and generally want him to stop.  Some laugh.  These smarter-than-thou folks are pissing in their pants, and are hoisted on their own petard.

Next up, the model you had squirreled away for who’s involved in all of this at the root level, is wrong too.  This video will help.

The source video is here.  You see, up until very recently, the NIH was neck deep in all of this research, Harvard, UNC and Canada being involved before that.

There are sinister forces at work, and what you’re being told about how this virus originated, how it is spreading, how society should behave, what’s effective as a therapeutic, what treatment paradigm needs to be followed, and who stands to benefit from it all, is a story the full extent of which hasn’t yet been told, but is being teased out by very good researchers little by little.

Even the textual underpinnings of the narrative has changed.  “Social distancing” was the byword before now.  I recently drove into S.C. and as soon as I did I passed road signs that said in alternating lights, “Go home … stay home.”  You’re beginning to see all of that fade in favor of “contact tracing.”  They know you object, but they are going to help by doing it without you even having to put an App on your cell phone.  Google and Apple are their partners in health.  They are willing to bet that you’re so desperate to return to work that you’ll accept just about anything to make a living again.

Jettison your models.  They’re no good.  Not a single one of them.


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